EXP-000103
GRANDSLAM — 2022-start vs 2024-start dataset window
Historical experiment metadata unavailable. The hypothesis and decision behind this work were never written down; the metrics below are reconstructed from surviving tester reports and the narrative is honestly absent.
Hypothesis
Not recorded
Dataset & conditions
Two runs of the same BTCUSD M5 system over different start dates. The 2022-start window includes the 2022 crypto drawdown regime and reports 60.76% equity drawdown; the 2024-start window reports 21.56%. Same system, different market regimes covered.
The two runs differ in period, platform or drawdown basis, so their figures must not be read as a controlled comparison. They are shown as the surviving record of what was tried.
Before / After
Before
- Period
- 2022.01.01 – 2026.03.28
- Symbol
- BTCUSD
- Profit factor
- 2.26
- Max drawdown
- 60.76% (equity)
- Trades
- 20,459
- Win rate
- 93.7%
After
- Period
- 2024.01.01 – 2026.03.28
- Symbol
- BTCUSD
- Profit factor
- 2.83
- Max drawdown
- 21.56% (equity)
- Trades
- 12,404
- Win rate
- 95.4%
Validation
Out-of-sample, walk-forward, Monte Carlo and forward results are shown only where they exist as data. None exist for this entry.
Decision
Not recorded
Backtest improvement does not imply future improvement. The more experiments run, the more likely some succeed by chance — this log exists partly so that multiple-testing risk stays visible instead of hidden.